Federal Year-End Spending Report, FY2021 through FY2025
How much of the federal contracting year actually lands in the fourth quarter, how the money moves when it does, which buyers and industries concentrate hardest, and what a contractor can defensibly plan against.
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About this report
Every contractor knows the fourth quarter is busy. This report measures exactly how busy, across five complete federal fiscal years of prime contract obligations, and then takes the spike apart. It reports the fourth-quarter share of each year and the direction it is moving, the twelve-month profile of the contracting year with September isolated, the award-type mix that shows the year-end money flowing disproportionately through orders on vehicles that already exist, department and sub-agency rankings of year-end concentration, and the industries and product codes most dependent on fourth-quarter money. The accompanying workbook carries every figure behind every table, down to the quarterly detail per department.
What it gives you
- Fourth-quarter and September shares of every fiscal year, and the direction both are moving
- The award-type cut: orders on existing vehicles against standalone instruments at year-end
- Departments ranked two ways, by fourth-quarter share and by September share
- The industries and product codes most dependent on year-end money, with each one's own concentration
- Sub-agencies ranked by fourth-quarter dollars, with parent department and concentration
- A ten-sheet Excel workbook holding the full detail behind every table and exhibit
What is inside
Section by section.
- 01Executive summary and how to read the report
- 02Key figures with the window and measure stated
- 03The fourth quarter, by fiscal year
- 04September, including the year-by-year trend
- 05How the year-end money moves, by award type
- 06Concentration by department, on the quarter and on September alone
- 07What the fourth quarter buys: industries, then products and services
- 08The buying offices behind the spike: sub-agencies
- 09What the data supports, and what it does not
- 10Sources, window, method, and the workbook guide
Who it is for
Capture and business development leads planning a fourth-quarter push, corporate strategy, and anyone building a pipeline forecast around the federal buying calendar.
What you receive
- PDF report, 18 pagesGCD-RR-FYE-2026M07
- Excel data workbook, 10 worksheetsGCD-RR-FYE-2026M07CoverHeadline measuresBy fiscal yearBy fiscal monthDepartmentsDepartment quartersAward typesNAICS Q4 compositionPSC Q4 compositionSub-agencies Q4
Both files download immediately after payment from a link tied to your purchase.
Edition
- Period covered
- July 2026
- Published
- July 24, 2026
- Catalog number
- GCD-RR-FYE-2026M07
Sources and limits
Built from USAspending.gov prime contract obligations over the five complete fiscal years ending 2025-09-30. No figure is modeled, estimated, or forecast. The report measures when money was obligated, which is not the same as when work was competed, and it says so.